Backtesting

BTC 1h Polymarket Backtesting Data

Use BTC 1h Polymarket backtesting data for hourly strategy replay with historical order books, liquidity, and outcomes.

BTC 1h Polymarket backtesting data is useful for strategies that need a wider decision window than 5m or 15m markets. Hourly markets make it easier to test trend, fade, and time-to-close logic while still requiring execution-aware order book replay.

What to Measure

  • Spread and depth at entry and exit timestamps.
  • Probability drift as market close approaches.
  • Fill quality for different position sizes.
  • Performance by time remaining in the hourly window.

Why Full Depth Matters

Hourly markets may look smoother than short-horizon markets, but large or late orders can still cross multiple levels. Full bid/ask ladders let the backtest reject trades that would not have enough size at the expected price.

Related Resources

Core Polymarket Data Resources