Backtesting

BTC 24h Market Lifecycle Replay

Replay the full lifecycle of BTC 24h Polymarket Up/Down markets from open to settlement using historical order book snapshots.

BTC 24h market lifecycle replay helps traders study how a daily market changes from early positioning to final settlement. The full lifecycle can reveal liquidity regimes that short windows miss.

Lifecycle Phases

  • Open: first liquidity and initial probability
  • Middle: trend, mean reversion, and depth changes
  • Pre-close: spread widening and final positioning
  • Settlement: outcome and final PnL calculation

Replay Uses

Lifecycle replay is useful for understanding whether a strategy depends on early-market liquidity, late-market information, or settlement mechanics.

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